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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)83% (2418–482, n=2900)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$3.6M$14.9M$96K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #39PM monthly #32 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position59% (17 of 29 open)79% (85 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1Robbb
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $19K—Janice Tjen $11K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $38—Keisuke Saitoh $13K—
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
USC Trojans $1.0K—USC Trojans $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
same side · consensus Edward Winter
Alafia Ayeni $105—Alafia Ayeni $128—