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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)63% (1101–635, n=1736)57% (10923–8271, n=19194)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$4.6M$19K$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #110was PM monthly #979PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)71% (67 of 95 open)71% (45 of 63 open)59% (16 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%100% of 1676 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)3% (won 100% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)12% (won 100% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)26% (won 100% of 443)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)58% (won 100% of 973)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1Pan9XRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Under $55Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $52Over $360
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Humbert
Ugo Humbert $7.1K—Adolfo Vallejo $10—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $67No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $46Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $39Under $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $106Over $36
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $59Yes $60
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22—No $20—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $14K——Adrian Andreev $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $233Over $3.0K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $10Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $63Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $116No $524
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $148—No $243—
Missouri State Bears vs. Wyoming Cowboys (W)
same side · consensus Missouri State Bears
——Missouri State Bears $3Missouri State Bears $248
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $81Yes $7
Duke Blue Devils vs. North Texas Mean Green (W)
same side · consensus Duke Blue Devils
——Duke Blue Devils $29Duke Blue Devils $43