Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677Matheobongprimm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)43% (10–13, n=23)56% (5–4, n=9)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M$102K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #276PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus62% (26 of 42 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (7 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%83% of 6 at avg 50¢, ROI +36%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)0%5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)50% (won 100% of 3)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 67% of 3)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)0%5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677Matheobongprimm
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Patriots $10K——Packers $70K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $28K——Cardinals $5.7K
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $1.2K——Cardinals $6.8K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $60——Cardinals $1.9K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $36K——49ers $80K
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $11K——Under $50