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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3647–6649, n=10296)65% (4198–2222, n=6420)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #127PM monthly #979PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (7 of 9 open)56% (31 of 55 open)48% (11 of 23 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 100% of 41)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 100% of 154)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—26% (won 100% of 300)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 100% of 671)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Pan9XRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $12KClaire Liu $37Zeynep Sonmez $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $53Over $1.6K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
opposite sides · consensus Coleman Wong
Kasidit Samrej $9Kasidit Samrej $6Coleman Wong $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3KOver $52Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke Watanuki $5.6K—Yosuke Watanuki $20K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton $13KBen Shelton $31—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $112No $529
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $81Yes $7