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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Pan9XprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3639–6643, n=10282)65% (4198–2220, n=6418)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #122PM monthly #994PM monthly #53PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (9 of 15 open)63% (52 of 82 open)no open consensus position46% (12 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 100% of 43)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 100% of 156)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—26% (won 100% of 310)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 100% of 703)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Pan9XprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $53—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3KOver $52—Over $360
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Thunder $20KGrizzlies $18——
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
—Tommy Paul $13—Ben Shelton $13K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Rinky Hijikata $3.7KLuca Van Assche $42——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1—Over $3.3K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Jay Clarke
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
Jay Clarke $2.6KFelix Gill $15——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $67—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105—Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $17—Alexandra Eala $38K
Blue Jackets vs. Sabres
same side · consensus Sabres
Sabres $22KSabres $65——
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $3.4KTaylor Fritz $3——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $112—No $529
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $552Wizards $43——
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $373Pelicans $32——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $81—Yes $7
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $17—Noma Noha Akugue $51