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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026JamesAltucherjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)69% (99–45, n=144)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M-$274$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87was PM monthly #531PM monthly #8PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus73% (32 of 44 open)100% (5 of 5 open)no open consensus position55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Elections −1 pts, n=101——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%38% of 228 at avg 36¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)56% (won 3% of 128)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 43% of 14)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)8% (won 78% of 18)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)30% (won 91% of 68)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026JamesAltucherjoseph00677primm
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $1.5K——Cardinals $6.1K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $39——Texans $1.8K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $76——Cardinals $1.6K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $1.5K——Cardinals $213
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $41K——49ers $85K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Texans $40K——Texans $4.7K
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $9.1K——Under $1.4K