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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)31% (547–1218, n=1765)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$103K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #975PM monthly #54PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (20 of 34 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)60% (27 of 45 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—48% (won 19% of 433)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—12% (won 51% of 110)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 76% of 119)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 94% of 234)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllprimmRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
Adrian Mannarino $6.5K——Toby Samuel $15K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
Borna Gojo $16K——Nikoloz Basilashvili $623
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K——Over $1.7K
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $627——Under $83
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $40K——Anna Blinkova $51K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K—49ers $40K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $23K——Lorenzo Sonego $18K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24K——Under $1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko
same side · consensus Alexander Shevchenko
Jacob Fearnley $14K——Jacob Fearnley $8.7K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $7.9K——Claire Liu $12K
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21——Under $2.4K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159——Falcons $1.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $434——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360