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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMSKW22222primm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)no settled market47% (1389–1566, n=2955)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.9M$48K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #764PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensus67% (6 of 9 open)73% (90 of 124 open)100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)—41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)—49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMSKW22222primm
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12Joel Schwaerzler $2.3K——
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
Alafia Ayeni $105Edward Winter $459——
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $19KJanice Tjen $5.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
USC Trojans $1.0KUSC Trojans $3.4K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K——