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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
feeder-of-marketsFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (427–151, n=578)no settled market68% (307–142, n=449)
Consensus PnL$0$58K—-$39K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #21PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)71% (106 of 150 open)no open consensus position54% (7 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfeeder-of-marketsFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Knoxville: Lui Maxted vs Hynek Barton
opposite sides · consensus Lui Maxted
—Lui Maxted $1.8K—Hynek Barton $3.2K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Zizou Bergs
opposite sides · consensus Holger Rune
—Holger Rune $56—Zizou Bergs $2.7K
Lima: Daniel Rincon vs Santiago De La Fuente
same side · consensus Daniel Rincon
—Daniel Rincon $2.7K—Daniel Rincon $10K
Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka
same side · consensus Daniil Glinka
—Daniil Glinka $1.4K—Daniil Glinka $7.3K
Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $981—No $2.1K
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $54—Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685