PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
drainedandpoorRN1sainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12150–12996, n=25146)71% (10–4, n=14)49% (839–863, n=1702)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #142
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (29 of 46 open)no open consensus position68% (13 of 19 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 795 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2478)0%5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5361)50% (won 100% of 5)41% (won 99% of 325)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8705)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 390)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7425)0%5% (won 100% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdrainedandpoorRN1sainttroplayprimm
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.6K—Over $4.1K
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas
opposite sides · consensus North Texas
—North Texas $3.0K—Florida Atlantic $1.8K
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Panthers $1.4K—Packers $1.2K
Spread: James Madison (-23.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $2.5K—Troy $4
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 56.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $295—Over $1.6K
Spread: Packers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Panthers $13—Packers $235
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 71.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $784—Over $5.7K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $6.0K—Packers $298
Spread: North Texas (-17.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—North Texas $1.6K—North Texas $1.9K
Spread: North Texas (-13.5)
same side · consensus North Texas
—North Texas $2.6K—North Texas $16