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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ce1lvc9ew66FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)81% (129–30, n=159)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$19K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #900PM monthly #10PM monthly #47PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)73% (99 of 136 open)70% (7 of 10 open)61% (39 of 64 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports −1 pts, n=144Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won30% of 152 at avg 30¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢52% (won 8% of 79)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 33% of 40)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 73% of 26)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 7)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketce1lvc9ew66FlaznorpprimmRN1
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $157Florida Atlantic $41KFlorida Atlantic $20K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $16Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $240
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.0KOver $6.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $5.0K—Magic $644
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.7K—Magic $376
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $1.2K—Suns $1.7K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: UTSA (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.0KUTSA $967
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.4KSouthern Miss $268
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.4K—Warriors $108
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.0K—Magic $180
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
—Mio Mushika $2—Kanon Sawashiro $48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $8.9K—Suns $1.1K
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $1.1K—Harold Mayot $3.7K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $2.2K—Suns $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.8K—Suns $1.1K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Katie Swan $848—Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.7K—Suns $258
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $502—Under $338
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $152—Warriors $87
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
—Han Shi $11—Han Shi $156