PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
canupdatelateronRN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (12314–13195, n=25509)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (13798–13934, n=27732)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #492PM monthly #23 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (32 of 48 open)100% (2 of 2 open)37% (15 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2507)3% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5408)29% (won 56% of 62)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8790)54% (won 51% of 115)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7551)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcanupdatelateronRN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
opposite sides · consensus Holger Rune
—Valentin Vacherot $19K—Holger Rune $22K
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12K—No $10
Guayaquil: Emilio Camacho vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
—Joao Lucas Da Silva $9.4K—Emilio Camacho $1.7K
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Eternal Fire
—MIBR $9.7K—Eternal Fire $16
Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $4.9K—Tommy Paul $1.3K
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $82—Over $39
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus Eternal Fire
—Eternal Fire $9.1K—Eternal Fire $88
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-16?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.0K—Yes $114
M25 Malta: Aleksandr Braynin vs Georgii Kravchenko
same side · consensus Aleksandr Braynin
—Georgii Kravchenko $2—Georgii Kravchenko $62