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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorppatoche99RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6524–6030, n=12554)100% (1–0, n=1)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$21K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21was PM monthly #976PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (195 of 278 open)no open consensus position61% (73 of 120 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1 at avg 7¢, ROI +93%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)100% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)0%22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)0%35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorppatoche99RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.6K—Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $5.6K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
—SC União Torreense $1.1K—Ararat-Armenia FA $2.1K
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.7K—Yes $437
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $315—No $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $1.8K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
—Valerio Aboian $6—Federico Coria $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
—FC København $1.1K—SK Iberia 1999 $862
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8K—No $19
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $248
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $134
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $107
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
—PFK CSKA Sofia $1.4K—Panathinaikós AO $4
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.4K—No $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $673—Yes $126
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
—Elmer Moeller $387—Joao Lucas Da Silva $32
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $114—Under $234
Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $327—Yes $9
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $60—Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108—Warriors $130
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $167—Over $48
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $173—Over $10
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $11—Yes $151
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
—Anna Siskova $60—Isis Louise Van den Broek $88
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $29
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $27—Over $4
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $49K—No $28K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $47K—No $20K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $30K—Yes $14K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $21K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.0K—Under $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Under $4.7K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $11K—No $1.8K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.0K—Under $8.8K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.4K—Under $5.9K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.6K—Under $4.3K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $3.4K—Bianca Andreescu $4.1K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.4K—Under $2.1K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.0K—Yes $3.7K
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.5K—Under $9
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.4K—Under $2.7K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.3K—Under $200