Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpndb1whosay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)58% (1088–777, n=1865)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$4.2M-$48K
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #149PM monthly #649
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (215 of 349 open)74% (34 of 46 open)44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139Tennis −3 pts, n=691
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%58% of 2081 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)11% (won 16% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)26% (won 35% of 547)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)28% (won 58% of 583)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)34% (won 88% of 712)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1whosay
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $788—Yes $789
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $157
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $47—Yes $1.2K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $781—Yes $260
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $25—Yes $902
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
—Rinky Hijikata $16K—Rinky Hijikata $287
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $52—Over $772