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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpwhosay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)58% (1088–777, n=1865)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M-$48K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #648
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)67% (174 of 259 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Tennis −3 pts, n=691
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%58% of 2081 at avg 59¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)11% (won 16% of 239)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)26% (won 35% of 547)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)28% (won 58% of 583)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)34% (won 88% of 712)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpwhosay
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $788Yes $768
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $158
Exact Score: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Fayha Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $47Yes $1.2K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $781Yes $249
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $25Yes $878
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $52Over $772
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
same side · consensus Team Falcons
——Natus Vincere $35Natus Vincere $518