Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$634K$3.3M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #57PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)61% (86 of 141 open)64% (278 of 432 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Golf −2 pts, n=108Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 19% of 1341)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)35% (won 46% of 3607)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 61% of 3523)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)17% (won 86% of 1699)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorp
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $642KYes $2.1KNo $179K
Spread: AEK (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
——AEK $3Real Madrid CF $313K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $56K—No $115K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $437Over $43K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $18K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $15K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2KNo $4.8K—
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus RB Leipzig
——RB Leipzig $1.2KManchester City FC $55
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $765KNo $14K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $17KNo $101K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $2.0K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $811—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester City FC
——RB Leipzig $1.7KRB Leipzig $114
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
——SK Slavia Praha $520SK Slavia Praha $196
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $229Under $382
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $164Yes $42—