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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (228–146, n=374) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6475–6058, n=12533) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.1K | $7.3M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 70% (274 of 389 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 446 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 7% of 119) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 300) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $148K | Thunder $827 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $395 | Pelicans $1.3K |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $761 | Bucks $35 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Grizzlies $14K | Grizzlies $465 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Jazz $392 | Jazz $4 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Timberwolves $197 | Timberwolves $89 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Grizzlies $50 | Grizzlies $226 |