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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| basedcigani | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (228–146, n=374) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 52% (6493–6083, n=12576) | 50% (1120–1127, n=2247) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.1K | $7.3M | $3.7M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 68% (200 of 296 open) | 38% (9 of 24 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 73% of 446 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 7% of 119) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 67% of 15) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 58% of 12) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 300) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | basedcigani | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Lakers $403 | Lakers $4.6K | — |