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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
andy29primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)37% (541–916, n=1457)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$69K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #54PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)86% (6 of 7 open)59% (33 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNBA −5 pts, n=70——
Settled positions, side won38% of 951 at avg 38¢, ROI +1%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢53% (won 5% of 508)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 38% of 60)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 58% of 111)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 91% of 272)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketandy29primmRN1
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Notre Dame $169KNotre Dame $40K
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
same side · consensus Georgia
—Georgia $14KGeorgia $7.1K
Spread: Michigan (-13.5)
same side · consensus Michigan State
—Michigan State $15KMichigan State $5
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Notre Dame $52Notre Dame $3.8K
Spread: Florida (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida
—Oklahoma $34Oklahoma $30