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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ameisgoat11RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)51% (1352–1282, n=2634)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13370–13521, n=26891)
Consensus PnL$21K$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #627PM monthly #16 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus54% (19 of 35 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position89% (8 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2463)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5333)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8660)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7366)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketameisgoat11RN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Merida Aguilar
Daniil Medvedev $23——Daniel Merida Aguilar $3.9K
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $7Talia Gibson $2.2K——
Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $3——Harriet Dart $134
Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Diana Shnaider
same side · consensus Diana Shnaider
—Diana Shnaider $24K—Diana Shnaider $119
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
same side · consensus PARIVISION
PARIVISION $3——PARIVISION $109
Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $3——Robin Montgomery $23