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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
alfabeticaFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (13–7, n=20)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$37K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #592PM monthly #10PM monthly #53PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)72% (123 of 171 open)no open consensus position63% (26 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won93% of 14 at avg 67¢, ROI +24%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 83% of 6)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 6)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketalfabeticaFlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3.5K—Yes $6.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $685
Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $779—Under $169
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $215—Under $492
Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maccabi Tel Aviv FC
—Maccabi Petah Tikva FC $388—Maccabi Tel Aviv FC $108
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $82—Justina Mikulskyte $3
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
—Gina Feistel $13K—Gina Feistel $16K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $4.9K—Robin Montgomery $572
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $2.5K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1K—Under $617
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0K—Under $478
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $1.0K
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $627
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.9K—Under $54
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7K—Over $189
Will Madura United vs. Arema FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $458
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $764—Under $169
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42