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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
RN1Scrip-scripUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)42% (5–7, n=12)50% (20622–20404, n=41026)
Consensus PnL$14.8M$70K$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #403PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus54% (25 of 46 open)no open consensus position70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 5 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2588)0%7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5673)0%20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 9163)100% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8536)0%52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1Scrip-scripUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.7K—Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $360—Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.9K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.3K—Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $36—Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $71
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $60—No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $29—Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20—Over $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Under $960
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Under $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $41—Under $801