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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| J-E-R | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14163–15634, n=29797) |
| Consensus PnL | $40K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (62 of 72 open) | 73% (54 of 74 open) | 57% (38 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | J-E-R | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $675 | Yes $1.9K | — |