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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| J-E-R | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $42K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (62 of 72 open) | 73% (56 of 77 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 58% (103 of 178 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | J-E-R | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | No $3.4M | — | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | — | South Florida $3.7K | East Carolina $3.5K |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 67.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $23 | Under $4.7K |
| Spread: South Florida (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | — | South Florida $213 | East Carolina $3.9K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $788 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $675 | Yes $1.8K | — | — |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $508 | Over $1.4K |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | — | South Florida $262 | East Carolina $803 |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $381 | SMU $271 |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | — | Virginia Tech $226 | SMU $79 |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $71 | Over $3 |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | — | SMU $3.4K | SMU $698 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-7.5) same side · consensus Illinois | — | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Nebraska $7 |
| Spread: SMU (-7.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | — | Virginia Tech $5 | Virginia Tech $1.5K |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $20 | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | — | SMU $3 | SMU $82 |