← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | J-E-R | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $42K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 86% (62 of 72 open) | 73% (56 of 77 open) | 59% (105 of 179 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | J-E-R | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $40K | Yes $1.2K | No $3.4M | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Grizzlies $14K | — | — | Thunder $169 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $675 | Yes $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $396 | — | — | Mavericks $127 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $399 | — | — | Pelicans $44 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | No $337K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | No $22 | — | — |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $769 | — | — | Raptors $38 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Raptors $214 | — | — | Raptors $182 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $50 | — | — | Grizzlies $100 |