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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | J-E-R | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (4842–4042, n=8884) | 44% (159–201, n=360) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $37K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #33 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (8 of 17 open) | 86% (62 of 72 open) | 73% (76 of 104 open) | 60% (18 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 28% of 378 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 92% of 77) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | J-E-R | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $675 | Yes $1.7K | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $178K | No $24 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $22 | — | — |