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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| J-E-R | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (164–208, n=372) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 47% (14272–15777, n=30049) |
| Consensus PnL | $42K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (65 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (55 of 76 open) | 51% (34 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 92% of 76) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | J-E-R | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $675 | — | Yes $1.7K | — |