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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GooGooGaga1BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)45% (503–616, n=1119)48% (11959–12793, n=24752)50% (13500–13645, n=27145)
Consensus PnL$929$11.1M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #963PM monthly #1PM monthly #17 + pinnedPM monthly #15
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (31 of 48 open)55% (31 of 56 open)60% (18 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2478)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5361)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8705)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7425)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGooGooGaga1BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daa
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Warriors $102K—Timberwolves $1.1K
Thunder vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Mavericks $24K—Thunder $1.2K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.2KOver $253
EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KUnder $103
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Mavericks $37KMavericks $405—
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
same side · consensus Milwaukee Brewers
——Milwaukee Brewers $5.4KMilwaukee Brewers $728
Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jay Dylan Friend
same side · consensus Jay Dylan Friend
——Jay Dylan Friend $264Jay Dylan Friend $7