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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)60% (7122–4708, n=11830)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.8M$3.6M$61K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #97PM monthly #53PM monthly #525
Sides with the consensus65% (129 of 198 open)74% (113 of 153 open)no open consensus position75% (50 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 2377 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 90% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)20% (won 96% of 481)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)34% (won 98% of 816)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)39% (won 100% of 925)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $6
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $201No $7.4K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $3.7KNo $18K——
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $290—Yes $155
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $28No $115——
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Erzurumspor FK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4——Under $36