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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1S-Workssuitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)no settled market
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M$3.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #113PM monthly #54PM monthly #791
Sides with the consensus73% (95 of 131 open)73% (73 of 100 open)78% (7 of 9 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)—
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)—
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)—
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1S-Workssuitcase6628
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $374KBilibili Gaming $6.7K
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $6.1K——Jazz $232
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $1.3K—Pelicans $52K—
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $44KOver $108
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K——Coco Gauff $463