Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1PollsR4Dummiesprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)63% (993–578, n=1571)61% (20–13, n=33)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$251K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98PM monthly #985PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus72% (310 of 430 open)71% (59 of 83 open)100% (2 of 2 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%66% of 29 at avg 32¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)55% (won 50% of 16)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)17% (won 60% of 5)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)28% (won 100% of 8)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)0%5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1PollsR4Dummiesprimm
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $34KUnder $31K——
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
Hull City AFC $5.2KHull City AFC $2.9K——
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578Under $6.4K——