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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $3.6K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #639 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (141 of 194 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 61% (31 of 51 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 50% of 2 at avg 29¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 0% | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 0% | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo | Aidan Mayo $3.8K | — | — | Max Hans Rehberg $82 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $600 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch | Kilian Feldbausch $241 | — | — | Sumit Nagal $997 |
| SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7 | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | — | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | Diletta Cherubini $287 | — | — | Ipek Oz $680 |
| Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $598 | — | — | Yes $300 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Celtics $214 | — | — | Hornets $124 |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | 76ers $188 | — | — | Cavaliers $57 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $31 | — | — | No $12 |
| Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16 | — | — | No $11 |
| Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $2.8K | — | — | No $14K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $2.9K |
| Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.5K | — | — | Over $2.9K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | No $197 |
| Sariyer SK leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $450 | — | — | No $729 |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros same side · consensus Zsombor Piros | Zsombor Piros $500 | — | — | Zsombor Piros $644 |
| Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $228 | — | — | No $841 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | Anastasia Zakharova $236 | — | — | Anastasia Zakharova $393 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $361 | — | — | Kings $111 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $139 | — | — | Yes $192 |
| Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato | Carlo Alberto Caniato $11 | — | — | Carlo Alberto Caniato $300 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | — | — | Under $42 |
| Exact Score: Antalyaspor 1 - 0 Bursaspor? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $36 | — | — | Yes $17 |