Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpheyjasonjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)83% (5–1, n=6)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$33K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #739PM monthly #2PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (207 of 274 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (52 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 5 at avg 79¢, ROI +19%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)0%6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)20% (won 100% of 1)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)80% (won 100% of 4)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpheyjasonjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.7K——Over $777
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.8K——Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.8K——Yes $108
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.4K——Juan Carlos Prado $268
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Leyre Romero Gormaz $504——Julia Riera $1.1K
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $110——Over $1.2K
Will Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $4
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $890——Under $111
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $529
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $626——Over $42
FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $140——Under $473
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $152——No $458
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $510——Under $86
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $51——Kimmer Coppejans $419
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $414——No $5
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
Eintracht Braunschweig $329——FC Energie Cottbus $21
Will FC Argeș Pitești win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $315——Yes $19
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188——Cavaliers $108
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213——No $74
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $165——Yes $31
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31——No $12
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $13K——No $13K
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11K——Yes $8.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K——Yes $10K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
Everton FC $7.2K——Everton FC $2.2K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $6.5K
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.0K——Yes $4.1K
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K——No $2.1K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K——No $4.2K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3.3K——Over $1.8K
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.1K——Over $2.7K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.6K——Under $133
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Under $444
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $942——No $814
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $383——Over $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104——Under $1.1K
Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-3.5)
same side · consensus SG Dynamo Dresden
SG Dynamo Dresden $1.1K——SG Dynamo Dresden $10
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $754——Yes $303
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $561——No $163
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $537——No $172
SK Rapid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $588——Yes $11