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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazardMurkSniper
Record (consensus markets)71% (2024–808, n=2832)50% (6–6, n=12)54% (424–365, n=789)72% (31–12, n=43)
Consensus PnL$386K$423K$376K$6.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #34PM monthly #9PM monthly #988
Sides with the consensus65% (98 of 151 open)no open consensus position69% (79 of 115 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)0%1% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)59% (won 100% of 115)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)0%8% (won 100% of 15)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplayHomeRunHazardMurkSniper
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $12—Under $1.0K—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Duke
Duke $366—Miami (FL) $49—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296—Vikings $6.5K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546—Seahawks $1.5K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $383—Heat $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $169—Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $1.1K—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Bulls $90—Bulls $987—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Colorado
Colorado $50—Colorado $257—