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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHaradwaithndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)40% (3386–5156, n=8542)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$465K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #273PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus70% (185 of 266 open)71% (353 of 496 open)73% (81 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)53% (won 3% of 2055)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 35% of 170)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 54% of 178)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)38% (won 89% of 1442)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHaradwaithndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $361No $335K
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $672Yes $379
Will Brentford finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $84No $45
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $121Yes $1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8KNo $81K
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5KNo $53K
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—No $719No $26K
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $77Yes $2.5K
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $86Yes $1.9K
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $66Yes $525
Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $360No $133
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $279Yes $26
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
—No $85No $173
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $16No $13