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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ethanael02Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)65% (110–60, n=170)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$3.7M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #577PM monthly #13PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)70% (265 of 380 open)71% (58 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +23 pts n=34, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=29, ROI +12%
  • NBA +26 pts n=12, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won94% of 86 at avg 74¢, ROI +20%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 93% of 29)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 96% of 50)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEthanael02Flaznorpndb1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.6KNo $3.3K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $14KUnder $31K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $578Under $6.4K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9K