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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 63% (97–57, n=154) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | -$6.5K | $3.3M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #786 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #139 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 63% (161 of 254 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 32% (won 92% of 25) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 59% (won 96% of 46) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $68K | — | Pelicans $36 | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $7.9K | Cavaliers $11 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $204K | — | Pistons $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $30K | — | Jazz $4 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.7K | — | Celtics $215 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $954 | — | Pistons $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | — | Hawks $193 | — |