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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DegenKingBetterferrariChampions2026ndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)60% (89–60, n=149)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)63% (1096–631, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$118K-$8.8M$4.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #236was PM monthly #87PM monthly #108PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)55% (17 of 31 open)73% (73 of 100 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +24 pts n=33, ROI +17%
  • MLB +14 pts n=67, ROI +16%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won68% of 132 at avg 54¢, ROI +13%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 0% of 7)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 67% of 27)26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢71% (won 72% of 94)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 4)30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDegenKingBetterferrariChampions2026ndb1S-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus T1
—Bilibili Gaming $5—T1 $863K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
—Bilibili Gaming $2.2K—Bilibili Gaming $744K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $20K—Bilibili Gaming $386K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus T1
—Bilibili Gaming $13K—Bilibili Gaming $154K