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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Danny8273fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)81% (21–5, n=26)55% (23–19, n=42)47% (692–767, n=1459)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$6.4K$881K$865K$530K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #921PM monthly #18PM monthly #14PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position61% (91 of 148 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%61% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 78% of 9)30% (won 100% of 7)52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 94% of 16)4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanny8273fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $10KTitans $109K
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $38KJets $54K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $16KChiefs $7.8K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
——49ers $23KCowboys $275
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $21KVikings $12K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $3.3KCowboys $5.8K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Titans $516Titans $95