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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ChonkVisionferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (239–177, n=416)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$619K$3.1M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #88was PM monthly #87PM monthly #97PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus20% (1 of 5 open)62% (21 of 34 open)74% (114 of 154 open)66% (25 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +6 pts n=229, ROI +9%
  • NBA +20 pts n=11, ROI +20%
  • NFL +5 pts n=13, ROI +11%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=110—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won58% of 401 at avg 55¢, ROI +9%—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 3)—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 51% of 115)—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 59% of 258)—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 88% of 25)—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketChonkVisionferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Adrian Mannarino $6.0K—Toby Samuel $15K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Borna Gojo $16K—Nikoloz Basilashvili $623
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Over $1.7K
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $627—Under $84
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $23K—Lorenzo Sonego $18K
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $12KGiants $26K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $7.9K—Claire Liu $12K
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21—Under $2.4K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $159—Falcons $1.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $434—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360