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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Brokie | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (360–241, n=601) | 52% (6551–6119, n=12670) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $297K | $3.7M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #689 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (48 of 60 open) | 70% (228 of 328 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Economy −11 pts, n=15 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 565 at avg 54¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 12% of 185) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 55% of 64) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 76% of 78) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 95% of 238) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Brokie | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.9K | Under $30K |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | — | No $26K |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $11K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $595 | Under $6.6K |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | — | Hull City AFC $2.5K | Hull City AFC $2.9K |