← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 50% (14740–14843, n=29583) | 88% (2292–322, n=2614) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $3.0M | $32K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #61 | was PM monthly #1000 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (34 of 51 open) | 74% (25 of 34 open) | 61% (87 of 143 open) | 67% (12 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 8% (won 60% of 899) | 2% (won 95% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 21% (won 87% of 2444) | 32% (won 98% of 318) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 39% (won 95% of 4418) | 51% (won 98% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 99% of 3709) | 14% (won 98% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.