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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | NM-P | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 82% (5500–1219, n=6719) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $4.8M | $52K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #506 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 66% (116 of 177 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 100% of 257) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 100% of 860) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 21% (won 100% of 888) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | NM-P | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $231 | No $3.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | Yes $153 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $25 | Yes $674 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $2 | No $12 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $21K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.4K | No $15K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $23 | No $1.1K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $67 | No $53 |