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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | donube | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 70% (712–303, n=1015) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 50% (20851–20547, n=41398) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $1.1M | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #151 + pinned | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 79% (136 of 173 open) | 68% (59 of 87 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | donube | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $74K | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | No $195 | — | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $10 | No $53K | — |