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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsaveme
Record (consensus markets)56% (61–47, n=108)47% (705–782, n=1487)33% (2–4, n=6)
Consensus PnL$770K$825K-$1.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #15was PM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus47% (7 of 15 open)59% (48 of 81 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%80% of 5 at avg 40¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢0%5% (won 100% of 23)20% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢43% (won 100% of 25)34% (won 100% of 159)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 30)52% (won 100% of 243)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)9% (won 100% of 42)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplsgodsaveme
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $34KHornets $17K—
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $4.4KLakers $1.6K—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $40KCowboys $3.3K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $234Suns $6.0K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Clippers $789Clippers $2.6K—