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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1pvc975
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)99% (17976–267, n=18243)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$5.3M$14.8M$92K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinnedwas PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)no open consensus position58% (53 of 91 open)100% (10 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Crypto ±0 pts, n=298
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%99% of 11293 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)1% (won 11% of 76)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)0% (won 83% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)0% (won 89% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)99% (won 100% of 11196)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1pvc975
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $288No $15K
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $8Under $898
Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $60No $476
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $282Under $227
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $140No $323
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $96No $69
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $6Under $103
Leeds United FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $7No $5