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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677NM-PUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)45% (10–12, n=22)82% (5526–1224, n=6750)49% (20671–21624, n=42295)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$5.3M$52K$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #508PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)no open consensus position66% (95 of 143 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 100% of 257)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 860)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)21% (won 100% of 888)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)52% (won 100% of 2130)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677NM-PUpTheBlues
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $231No $3.1K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $153
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 3 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $25Yes $674
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2No $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $15K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $23No $1.1K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $67No $53