← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | hedgie1 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (4–4, n=8) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $23K | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #928 | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (42 of 54 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 72% (70 of 97 open) | 59% (88 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 3 at avg 96¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 0% | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 0% | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 100% (won 100% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | hedgie1 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $179K | — | — | Cowboys $1.2K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Colts $124K | — | — | Cowboys $4.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $101K | — | — | Cowboys $1.3K |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $67K | — | — | Eagles $21 |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $37K | — | — | Eagles $6.9K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $421K | — | No $346K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $131K | — | — | No $4.7K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $18K | — | — | Chiefs $978 |
| Spread: Rams (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | Rams $13K | — | — | Rams $2.8K |