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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (11778–15356, n=27134) | 55% (13369–10733, n=24102) | 45% (107–132, n=239) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #784 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 68% (97 of 143 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 75% of 72 at avg 70¢, ROI +10% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 11% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 11% (won 13% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 13% (won 56% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 65% (won 96% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri | — | Ugo Blanchet $3 | Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | — | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $141 | Yes $2.8K | — |
| Monastir: Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos | — | Yannik Kelm $1 | Pedro Vives Marcos $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $2.0K | Hornets $156 | — |
| Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In opposite sides · consensus maybe | — | maybe $49 | MASONIC $3 | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | Adrian Andreev $24K | Adrian Andreev $3.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Ugo Humbert | — | Ugo Humbert $7.1K | Ugo Humbert $2.8K | — |
| ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s | — | Afghanistan Under-19s $35 | Afghanistan Under-19s $49 | — |