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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJonasTheWolf
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)68% (21–10, n=31)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.4M-$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)53% (10 of 19 open)69% (98 of 143 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 20 at avg 75¢, ROI +26%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)10% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)30% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)60% (won 100% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpJonasTheWolf
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie
—James Duckworth $8Cameron Norrie $6.9K—
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet
opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Ugo Blanchet $3Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $141Yes $2.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $2.0KHornets $156—
Monastir: Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos
—Yannik Kelm $1Pedro Vives Marcos $2.0K—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $24KAdrian Andreev $8.5K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Tomas Machac
—Tomas Machac $23KTomas Machac $2.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $12K—
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
—Afghanistan Under-19s $35Afghanistan Under-19s $49—